Helsinki (20.12.2012 - Juhani Artto) It still holds true - in general terms - that the better a person's education is, the better his or her chances are of being employed or finding a job. But this generalization has gradually lost much of its strength.
Prior to the early 1990s depression in the Finnish economy, the unemployment rate of highly-educated people was extremely low, less than 1 per cent. During the depression it peaked at around 7 per cent and then came down to about 4-5 per cent where it has remained since 1999.
The still relatively low unemployment rate disguises the fact that the number of highly-educated unemployed people has trendwise grown fairly rapidly. Akavalainen, the magazine of the union confederation Akava, recently published an article on this very trend under the headline "A record, not to be cheered".
The story, written by Heikki Taulu, who works as an economist at Akava, describes the changes taking place concerning the unemployment of highly-educated people. Akava is the union confederation for highly-educated people's trade unions (www.akava.fi/en).
The figures to the unemployment rate for this group of people conceals the increase in the number of unemployed, because the educational level of the population has risen at such a rapid pace. The table below gives an idea of this tremendous dynamic.
Population aged 15 or over (1000 persons) and its division in three educational levels 1970-2010
1970 |
1980 |
1990 |
2000 |
2010 |
|
basic educ. |
2598 |
2348 |
2000 |
1724 |
1482 |
upper sec. |
573 |
967 |
1310 |
1529 |
1758 |
tertiary |
309 |
503 |
724 |
992 |
1247 |
all |
3480 |
3818 |
4034 |
4245 |
4488 |
Source: Educational structure of population, Statistics Finland
http://193.166.171.75/database/StatFin/kou/vkour/vkour_en.asp
The labour market has not been able to absorb the ever increasing numbers of highly-educated men and women. The next table gives a rough idea on how education has lost its relative capacity to be converted into employment.
The number of unemployed and the unemployment rate (%) on three educational levels 2001-2011
number of |
provision of all unempl. 2001 |
number of |
provision of all unempl. 2011 |
|
basic educ |
129,000 |
44,9 |
79,600 |
35,7 |
upper sec. |
141,600 |
49,2 |
116,700 |
52,3 |
tertiary |
17,100 |
5,9 |
26,600 |
12,0 |
all |
287,700 |
100,0 |
222,900 |
100,0 |
Source: Akava
Heikki Taulu says that among the highly-educated people the risk of being unemployed is now somewhere around half of the risk in the entire labour force. At the beginning of the year 2000 the risk of the highly-educated was a third of the risk faced by the entire labour force. And he is confident that this trend will continue many years to come.
Growing risk of unemployment has not made highly-educated people turn their backs to trade unions. This is well illustrated in the enlargement of Akava's affiliated unions. In 2000, they had 375,000 rank and file members, in 2012 even 566,000. According to Akava, approximately 70 per cent of all highly educated citizens are members of one of Akava’s affiliates.